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As described:StopNarrowed:Narrow

No as described. Go, small, as DOT paperwork for private trade fleets, with a day-45 kill test.

trade fleets · ~$85 a month per firm · last reviewed (next review by 29 Dec 2026) · 40 cited sources

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US DOT paperwork for private trade fleets (3–25 trucks, mostly drivers without a commercial licence, landscaping first): driver files, medical cards, annual reviews, paperwork by text, and an audit binder

Odds of reaching each MRR level by month 24

Odds of reaching each MRR level by month 24, at about 15 hours a week and full-time, with the founder conditions met. Judgment estimates, not statistical probabilities.
MRR by month 24~15 hrs/weekFull-time
$1kReaching $1k MRR by month 24 at about 15 hours a week: ≈ 45 in 100 (45%, judgment estimate).Reaching $1k MRR by month 24 at full-time: ≈ 60 in 100 (60%, judgment estimate).
$3kReaching $3k MRR by month 24 at about 15 hours a week: ≈ 28 in 100 (28%, judgment estimate).Reaching $3k MRR by month 24 at full-time: ≈ 42 in 100 (42%, judgment estimate).
$5kReaching $5k MRR by month 24 at about 15 hours a week: ≈ 18 in 100 (18%, judgment estimate).Reaching $5k MRR by month 24 at full-time: ≈ 30 in 100 (30%, judgment estimate).
$10kReaching $10k MRR by month 24 at about 15 hours a week: ≈ 8 in 100 (8%, judgment estimate).Reaching $10k MRR by month 24 at full-time: ≈ 16 in 100 (16%, judgment estimate).
$20kReaching $20k MRR by month 24 at about 15 hours a week: ≈ 3 in 100 (3%, judgment estimate).Reaching $20k MRR by month 24 at full-time: ≈ 7 in 100 (7%, judgment estimate).
$50kReaching $50k MRR by month 24 at about 15 hours a week: < 1 in 100 (<1%, judgment estimate).Reaching $50k MRR by month 24 at full-time: ≈ 2 in 100 (2%, judgment estimate).

For context: across 10,150 products listing verified revenue on TrustMRR, the median makes about $30 a month and about 5% make more than $8k (analysis, Sept 2026). The odds above assume the founder conditions below are met and the narrowed version is built, so they sit well above that all-comers rate. Why.

How many months at the plan’s pace

At $85/month per customer and 2% monthly churn, adding the customers the plan needs for its month-24 checkpoint. Change any of it in the what-if model.

MRR~15 hrs/weekFull-time
$1k6 mo2 mo
$3k18 mo5 mo
$5k2 yr 10 mo8 mo
$10k16 yr 3 mo17 mo
$20knot reached3 yr 6 mo
$50knot reachednot reached

This works only if you…

  1. 1. Access to trade owners(missing it: odds × 0.5)

    You, a partner or an advisor can get 10 owners of landscaping or HVAC firms with 3–25 trucks on the phone within 30 days. That could be through a state landscape association, a commercial-auto insurance agent who writes contractor fleets, or your own time in the trade. Without it, multiply every recommended figure by ~0.5. Cold email to census addresses alone lands in an inbox already full of compliance solicitations.

  2. 2. A paid DOT compliance advisor(missing it: odds × 0.7)

    , such as a former state or FMCSA auditor or an independent safety consultant. They review the rule engine, the templates and every public claim before launch, and you carry errors and omissions (E&O) insurance from the first paying customer. A wrong rule in software is copied into every customer's file.

  3. 3. Sell before building(missing it: odds × 0.7)

    5 firms paying ≥$49/month for a hands-on "we build your DQ files and keep them current" service before any product code.

  4. 4. Hours per week available(missing it: odds × 0.7)

    , stated honestly, with at least 6 of them in US business hours for owner calls. The two columns above are different plans, not one plan run faster.

Evidence ledger

12 research findings: 8 sourced, 3 inferred, 0 unproven, 1 not rated. Tags come from the analyst's own confidence label; how tags work.

All 12 findings in the research file →

Sources

40 cited sources
  1. Latka (getlatka.com)
  2. SelectHub (selecthub.com)
  3. Capterra (capterra.com)
  4. corecompliance.io/pricing (corecompliance.io)
  5. FleetCollect comparison (fleetcollect.net)
  6. search snippet (fleetdrive360.com)
  7. search snippet (cdlsuite.com)
  8. search snippet (getfileflo.com)
  9. § 391.51 (law.cornell.edu)
  10. § 391.25 (law.cornell.edu)
  11. § 391.23 (law.cornell.edu)
  12. § 391.2 (law.cornell.edu)
  13. J.J. Keller FAQ (jjkeller.com)
  14. § 382.103 (law.cornell.edu)
  15. search result citing the FMCSA query-plan page (clearinghouse.fmcsa.dot.gov)
  16. § 382.701 (law.cornell.edu)
  17. § 396.11 (law.cornell.edu)
  18. § 396.3 (law.cornell.edu)
  19. Application process (developers.samsara.com)
  20. Technology Partner Program (developers.samsara.com)
  21. Integration Partner Terms (developers.samsara.com)
  22. comparison pages (gitnux.org)
  23. Samsara: Tenstreet (samsara.com)
  24. Geotab: become a Marketplace partner (marketplace.geotab.com)
  25. Latam Mobility summary (latamobility.com)
  26. DQMConnect listing (marketplace.geotab.com)
  27. SmallFleetHQ (smallfleethq.com)
  28. FMCSA Company Census File on data.transportation.gov (data.transportation.gov)
  29. catalog entry (catalog.data.gov)
  30. Federal Register, 30 Dec 2024 (federalregister.gov)
  31. Foley summary (foley.io)
  32. FMCSA answer page (ask.fmcsa.dot.gov)
  33. eCFR Part 385 Subpart D (ecfr.gov)
  34. TIPRO summary (tiproservices.com)
  35. secondary summaries (fleetrabbit.com)
  36. CNS summary (cnsprotects.com)
  37. Federal Register (federalregister.gov)
  38. Federal Register (federalregister.gov)
  39. SambaSafety state fees (support.sambasafety.com)
  40. MVRNOW fee table, Feb 2026 (mvrnow.com)